Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.493689 0.542729 0.596443 0.659990 0.733567 0.816630 0.918282
2025-10-05 0.425949 0.495450 0.578117 0.685263 0.822858 0.997102 1.240397
2025-10-12 0.385147 0.464937 0.565250 0.703885 0.896065 1.162291 1.577382
2025-10-19 0.350684 0.434951 0.545330 0.705546 0.941541 1.293741 1.898804
2025-10-26 0.318218 0.402684 0.516783 0.688763 0.954550 1.376220 2.163830
2025-11-02 0.291112 0.374388 0.489734 0.669115 0.957880 1.441198 2.415725
2025-11-09 0.269897 0.352061 0.468413 0.654514 0.965518 1.513012 2.703115
2025-11-16 0.252221 0.333130 0.449973 0.641634 0.973094 1.584946 3.016409
2025-11-23 0.237395 0.317093 0.434250 0.630942 0.982188 1.660753 3.369157
2025-11-30 0.229903 0.311197 0.433261 0.644022 1.035554 1.836780 4.059855
2025-12-07 0.219591 0.300272 0.423402 0.640698 1.057215 1.950545 4.644028
2025-12-14 0.210092 0.289931 0.413594 0.636260 1.075753 2.061698 5.292334
2025-12-21 0.197433 0.274294 0.394644 0.614593 1.058370 2.088820 5.696920
2025-12-28 0.194464 0.273683 0.400361 0.638732 1.141247 2.393522 7.456955
2026-01-04 0.190357 0.270933 0.402180 0.655649 1.211745 2.693027 9.627733
2026-01-11 0.183996 0.264110 0.396442 0.657155 1.247283 2.906087 11.725285
2026-01-18 0.175503 0.253315 0.383028 0.641971 1.240472 2.986014 13.165078
2026-01-25 0.167251 0.242519 0.368956 0.624176 1.224652 3.032776 14.498971
2026-02-01 0.160268 0.233523 0.357573 0.610938 1.218502 3.112716 16.331757
2026-02-08 0.153990 0.225428 0.347353 0.599251 1.214736 3.201807 18.545716
2026-02-15 0.148403 0.218260 0.338421 0.589542 1.214875 3.307639 21.349697
2026-02-22 0.146111 0.216600 0.339475 0.601419 1.275726 3.683045 29.428898
2026-03-01 0.141990 0.211592 0.333994 0.598401 1.294501 3.893873 36.698956